Proactivity

24:00
gate fired
Departure 0.77
23:45
model saw until
15 s transcript lag
needs open right now
Follow-upssince 09:07

What the model saw

transcript up to 23:45 · last 90 s highlighted (gate window) · dimmed lines came after
20:46Speaker 1yeah. It's on, um... Is that just, what's the main area? Times Square?
20:52Drew (?)Times Square. Times Square is four blocks. Actually, the overstimulation in there
20:59MarlonDamn, I haven't been out here in a long time like this. I forgot how bad it is, bro.
21:04Speaker 1Because there's just so many people on the street. Like everyone walks. Like usually I just go when I go like...
21:10Drew (?)the
21:11MarlonLike everyone walks. Like usually
21:12Drew (?)Silky. Is he still eating, you think?
21:16Jason (?)Yes, bro, for sure.
21:16Drew (?)Did he take a shower?
21:22Drew (?)So you think they're gonna walk up?
21:25MarlonHey, can I pay for these after we pay for everything?
21:32MarlonWhat the fuck? Are we in the fucking wax museum ourselves or what's going on here, boys? Hey?
21:39MarlonI've never been to a wax museum. I don't know if it's like interesting or not, but... The sex museum? No, wax museum.
21:47Drew (?)Wait, Silky's been outside, bro.
21:51Drew (?)Who's he outside with? He's with TJR, bro. Where?
21:59Jason (?)All right, where are we going, bro? They're still out there.
22:04Jason (?)Should we call an Uber?
22:07Drew (?)Probably a good idea. Bro.
22:08MarlonBro. To
22:08Speaker 6To where?
22:14Jason (?)Sex museum said no. We could go, I'm gonna say we could go to the Sugar Factory. I'm gonna mash out.
22:19Drew (?)We can go to the Sugar Factory, we can go to the Color
22:21MarlonFactory.
22:22Jason (?)What is the Color Factory? Is
22:24MarlonIs that Willy Wonka there or some shit? Like why is it fucking funny? Yo, Sugar Factory. What is that even about?
22:30Jason (?)Uh, basically it's it's like a it's like imagine a mall but it's just candy.
22:38Jason (?)You just buy infinite candy, bro.
22:40MarlonIt's not a factory though, it's a store.
22:43Drew (?)It's
22:45Jason (?)It's a factory built out of sugar, like with sugar.
22:48MarlonSo if I go there, there'll be sugar on the walls.
22:51Jason (?)Huh?
22:52MarlonThere'll be sugar on the walls.
22:58MarlonYo, have you done anything else but eating today? I'm I'm drinking
23:01Drew (?)I haven't though.
23:03Marlonthough. I drove an
23:03Jason (?)No, I drove an hour, I didn't eat all day, so I went and got food, and then I was on the way to you guys, and the pizza shop owner came out, I was like, hey, you want a free slice of pizza? A man, a hungry man doesn't pass up free food. So I went in the store.
23:14Drew (?)All right, bet. I'm about to get Uber to the sugar factory.
23:17MarlonAnd what happened to my McDonald's at the beginning, bro?
23:19Jason (?)McDonald's?
23:20Marlonto get breakfast.
23:22MarlonOh, you had to get McDonald's? What I got in my pocket right now?
23:27Jason (?)I like that. I like that.
23:28Drew (?)spawn in
23:29Jason (?)I like that, bro. I like
23:31MarlonWhat do you mean I like that? You probably ate it. Give
23:34Drew (?)that to one of the.
23:37Drew (?)What's up with this fish, bro?
23:40MarlonPop.
23:42Drew (?)Ew, I'm gonna be honest, bro.
23:44MarlonOh, bro. Ew, I keep kissing it. Ew.
23:59Jason (?)getting
24:16Jason (?)Hello, hello
24:26Drew (?)Do y'all have a back entrance?
24:32Jason (?)Okay, it is prebiotic. It is prebiotic.
24:34MarlonOh, I'm being scoopered.
24:35Drew (?)Huh? I'm being scoopered.
24:36MarlonHuh? Huh? I'm chilling.
24:38Drew (?)It's here?
24:43MarlonWait, so what, Sookie's just walking around?
24:44Drew (?)Sookie's just walking around. When is Sookie gonna text?

Gate at 24:00

Fired on Departure at 0.77, threshold 0.6. 334 ms.
Announcement 0.38
trigger
0.57
substanz
0.38
Departure 0.77
trigger
0.82
substanz
0.77
Missing info 0.56
trigger
0.56
substanz
0.63
Task 0.20
trigger
0.22
substanz
0.20
Recording concern 0.06
signal
0.06
Doing it themselves 0.63
suppress
0.63

Model decisions

deepseek-v4.1-flashdeepseek · reasoning off
Assistant24:29
Pick next NYC spot
Uber waiting — choose Sugar Factory, Color Factory, or Beat the Bomb
Sugar FactoryColor FactoryBeat the Bomb
Too lateplace23.9 s · visible 24:29 · claims 600 s
need closed 23:13, card 76 s after
The group is mid-departure with an unresolved destination and an Uber already outside, so a quick venue picker is useful now.
Observation
[0:23:13] Speaker 1: 'Alright bet, I'm about to get an Uber to the Sugar Factory.' and [0:23:43] Marlon: 'Is Uber on his way? Yeah. How long, how long? It's outside. It's here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.'
Prediction
The group is deciding between Sugar Factory, Color Factory, Beat the Bomb, Balloon Museum, and Wax Museum while an Uber is already outside and food is still pending. They will need a destination decision and a plan for the next 10-30 minutes.
Reasoning
The pre-filter 'aufbruch' fired because the group is actively leaving the safe house and an Uber is already waiting outside. The destination is still unresolved across multiple options, and the transcript shows them debating Sugar Factory vs Color Factory vs Beat the Bomb. This is a long-lived need (choosing where to go next) that won't resolve in under 30 seconds. The 10-30 second card latency means the Uber may already be loading, so the card must be actionable immediately. Earlier in the stream they were kicked out of the Sex Museum and are looking for a reset activity.
Options on the card
Sugar FactoryColor FactoryBeat the Bomb
Considered and rejected
Book Uber BlackAn Uber is already outside per the transcript, so booking is redundant.
Note Sugar Factory ideaThey are actively deciding, not just brainstorming; a note card is too passive.
Risk
If they already decided and are in the Uber, this card is annoying and late.
Confidence
0.72
raw response
{
  "beobachtung": "[0:23:13] Speaker 1: 'Alright bet, I'm about to get an Uber to the Sugar Factory.' and [0:23:43] Marlon: 'Is Uber on his way? Yeah. How long, how long? It's outside. It's here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.'",
  "vorhersage": "The group is deciding between Sugar Factory, Color Factory, Beat the Bomb, Balloon Museum, and Wax Museum while an Uber is already outside and food is still pending. They will need a destination decision and a plan for the next 10-30 minutes.",
  "reasoning": "The pre-filter 'aufbruch' fired because the group is actively leaving the safe house and an Uber is already waiting outside. The destination is still unresolved across multiple options, and the transcript shows them debating Sugar Factory vs Color Factory vs Beat the Bomb. This is a long-lived need (choosing where to go next) that won't resolve in under 30 seconds. The 10-30 second card latency means the Uber may already be loading, so the card must be actionable immediately. Earlier in the stream they were kicked out of the Sex Museum and are looking for a reset activity.",
  "alternativen": [
    {"karte": "Book Uber Black", "verworfen_weil": "An Uber is already outside per the transcript, so booking is redundant."},
    {"karte": "Note Sugar Factory idea", "verworfen_weil": "They are actively deciding, not just brainstorming; a note card is too passive."}
  ],
  "karte": true,
  "kategorie": "place",
  "titel": "Pick next NYC spot",
  "zeile": "Uber waiting — choose Sugar Factory, Color Factory, or Beat the Bomb",
  "aktion": "Opens a comparison card with the three debated venues and a tap-to-navigate option",
  "optionen": ["Sugar Factory", "Color Factory", "Beat the Bomb"],
  "haltbar_s": 600,
  "konfidenz": 0.72,
  "risiko": "If they already decided and are in the Uber, this card is annoying and late.",
  "grund": "The group is mid-departure with an unresolved destination and an Uber already outside, so a quick venue picker is useful now."
}
glm-5.3-flashz-ai · reasoning effort low
Assistant24:11
Museum approval pending
Jay awaits manager text about museum re-entry
Add reminder noteMark resolved laterDismiss
RepeatFollow-ups5.9 s · visible 24:11 · claims 7200 s
The museum re-entry approval is an unresolved followup that will be forgotten once they leave for Sugar Factory.
Observation
[0:17:47] Speaker 6: "Uh, I'm emailing right now, but they have my phone number, so they're gonna text if their management..." and [0:18:20] "there's a certain person that has to come through and approve everything"; group then pivots to Sugar Factory plans at [0:22:13]-[0:23:13] and orders an Uber.
Prediction
Once they're in the Uber to Sugar Factory (card visible ~10-30s from now), the pending museum management approval Jay is waiting on will still be unresolved and easily forgotten amid the crowd and travel; the need persists for the rest of the day.
Reasoning
Jay said management would text his phone about re-entry approval, and Marlon called it a good promo idea earlier ([0:09:07]-[0:09:28]). The group is now distracted by crowds, smoothies, and booking an Uber to Sugar Factory, so the followup risks being lost. The card becomes visible as they depart, a natural transition moment. This is a lasting followup, not a sub-30-second need, so it qualifies.
Options on the card
Add reminder noteMark resolved laterDismiss
Considered and rejected
Uber waiting outside - grab foodthey already know the Uber is outside and are actively coordinating the wait themselves; resolved in seconds
Sugar Factory destination infothey already decided and booked the ride themselves; a card would duplicate what they just did
Risk
Annoying if management already texted a rejection or the group has clearly abandoned the museum idea; pre-filter 'aufbruch' may have meant only the Uber departure.
Confidence
0.55
raw response
{
 "beobachtung": "[0:17:47] Speaker 6: \"Uh, I'm emailing right now, but they have my phone number, so they're gonna text if their management...\" and [0:18:20] \"there's a certain person that has to come through and approve everything\"; group then pivots to Sugar Factory plans at [0:22:13]-[0:23:13] and orders an Uber.",
 "vorhersage": "Once they're in the Uber to Sugar Factory (card visible ~10-30s from now), the pending museum management approval Jay is waiting on will still be unresolved and easily forgotten amid the crowd and travel; the need persists for the rest of the day.",
 "reasoning": "Jay said management would text his phone about re-entry approval, and Marlon called it a good promo idea earlier ([0:09:07]-[0:09:28]). The group is now distracted by crowds, smoothies, and booking an Uber to Sugar Factory, so the followup risks being lost. The card becomes visible as they depart, a natural transition moment. This is a lasting followup, not a sub-30-second need, so it qualifies.",
 "alternativen": [{"karte": "Uber waiting outside - grab food", "verworfen_weil": "they already know the Uber is outside and are actively coordinating the wait themselves; resolved in seconds"}, {"karte": "Sugar Factory destination info", "verworfen_weil": "they already decided and booked the ride themselves; a card would duplicate what they just did"}],
 "karte": true,
 "kategorie": "followup",
 "titel": "Museum approval pending",
 "zeile": "Jay awaits manager text about museum re-entry",
 "aktion": "Open a note to track the museum management approval",
 "optionen": ["Add reminder note", "Mark resolved later", "Dismiss"],
 "haltbar_s": 7200,
 "konfidenz": 0.55,
 "risiko": "Annoying if management already texted a rejection or the group has clearly abandoned the museum idea; pre-filter 'aufbruch' may have meant only the Uber departure.",
 "grund": "The museum re-entry approval is an unresolved followup that will be forgotten once they leave for Sugar Factory."
}
gpt-5.6-lunaopenai · default
Stayed silent
Silent5.9 s
The likely departure need will be resolved before a card becomes visible, so showing one would be redundant.
Observation
At 23:13, Speaker 1 said, "I'm about to get an Uber to the Sugar Factory," and at 23:43 Marlon asked, "Is Uber on his way?" followed by "It's here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food."
Reasoning
The group has already selected the Sugar Factory and the Uber is reportedly present. By the time a card appears, they will likely be collecting food and getting into the vehicle, an action that may resolve within seconds. A destination or route card would duplicate what they are already handling and could distract them while boarding. Earlier discussion shows the plan is still somewhat fluid, but no durable booking or navigation need is clearly established.
Considered and rejected
Navigate to Sugar FactoryThe Uber is already there and the destination was verbally decided.
Choose next attractionThey are departing now, and selecting another venue can wait until arrival.
raw response
{
  "beobachtung": "At 23:13, Speaker 1 said, \"I'm about to get an Uber to the Sugar Factory,\" and at 23:43 Marlon asked, \"Is Uber on his way?\" followed by \"It's here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.\"",
  "reasoning": "The group has already selected the Sugar Factory and the Uber is reportedly present. By the time a card appears, they will likely be collecting food and getting into the vehicle, an action that may resolve within seconds. A destination or route card would duplicate what they are already handling and could distract them while boarding. Earlier discussion shows the plan is still somewhat fluid, but no durable booking or navigation need is clearly established.",
  "alternativen": [
    {
      "karte": "Navigate to Sugar Factory",
      "verworfen_weil": "The Uber is already there and the destination was verbally decided."
    },
    {
      "karte": "Choose next attraction",
      "verworfen_weil": "They are departing now, and selecting another venue can wait until arrival."
    }
  ],
  "karte": false,
  "grund": "The likely departure need will be resolved before a card becomes visible, so showing one would be redundant."
}
gemini-3.8-flashgoogle · default
Stayed silent
Silent11.0 s
Transportation is already arranged and waiting outside, so no assistive action is required.
Observation
Speaker 1 announces calling an Uber to Sugar Factory, and Marlon asks 'Is Uber on his way?' with the answer 'It's outside' at [0:23:44].
Reasoning
The pre-filter flagged departure ('aufbruch'), but an Uber has already been hailed by someone in the group and is currently waiting outside. Marlon and the group are simply waiting to pick up their smoothies before walking out to the car. Marlon does not need transport options, navigation, or immediate destination details on his screen while rushing out to the vehicle.
Considered and rejected
Call Uber / Transport to Sugar FactoryAn Uber was already ordered by a friend and is waiting outside.
Sugar Factory reservation / infoPremature; the group has not requested booking or info, and they will be traveling in the car for the next 15-20 minutes.
raw response
{"beobachtung": "Speaker 1 announces calling an Uber to Sugar Factory, and Marlon asks 'Is Uber on his way?' with the answer 'It's outside' at [0:23:44].", "reasoning": "The pre-filter flagged departure ('aufbruch'), but an Uber has already been hailed by someone in the group and is currently waiting outside. Marlon and the group are simply waiting to pick up their smoothies before walking out to the car. Marlon does not need transport options, navigation, or immediate destination details on his screen while rushing out to the vehicle.", "alternativen": [{"karte": "Call Uber / Transport to Sugar Factory", "verworfen_weil": "An Uber was already ordered by a friend and is waiting outside."}, {"karte": "Sugar Factory reservation / info", "verworfen_weil": "Premature; the group has not requested booking or info, and they will be traveling in the car for the next 15-20 minutes."}], "karte": false, "grund": "Transportation is already arranged and waiting outside, so no assistive action is required."}
gpt-5.6-solopenai · default
Stayed silent
Silent6.6 s
The departure need is already being handled and no durable unresolved task remains.
Observation
[0:23:43] Marlon: “Is Uber on his way? … It’s outside. It’s here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.”
Reasoning
The departure is already coordinated: an Uber is outside and the group knows they must collect their food first. By the time a card appears, they will likely either be boarding or still handling the pickup, both of which are visible and immediate tasks. Uber details can be checked in the app or with the friend who booked it in under 30 seconds. Earlier destination discussion ended with Sugar Factory, but there is no unresolved request for directions or a booking.
Considered and rejected
Open Uber trip detailsThe ride was booked by someone else and its status was just confirmed aloud.
Sugar Factory destination cardThey have already selected it as the Uber destination; showing it now would duplicate the active trip.
Remember the smoothiesMarlon explicitly noticed they must wait for the food, so no reminder is needed.
raw response
{"beobachtung":"[0:23:43] Marlon: “Is Uber on his way? … It’s outside. It’s here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.”","reasoning":"The departure is already coordinated: an Uber is outside and the group knows they must collect their food first. By the time a card appears, they will likely either be boarding or still handling the pickup, both of which are visible and immediate tasks. Uber details can be checked in the app or with the friend who booked it in under 30 seconds. Earlier destination discussion ended with Sugar Factory, but there is no unresolved request for directions or a booking.","alternativen":[{"karte":"Open Uber trip details","verworfen_weil":"The ride was booked by someone else and its status was just confirmed aloud."},{"karte":"Sugar Factory destination card","verworfen_weil":"They have already selected it as the Uber destination; showing it now would duplicate the active trip."},{"karte":"Remember the smoothies","verworfen_weil":"Marlon explicitly noticed they must wait for the food, so no reminder is needed."}],"karte":false,"grund":"The departure need is already being handled and no durable unresolved task remains."}
kimi-k3moonshotai · default
Assistant27:28
Sugar Factory: hours & info
Candy restaurant & store at [address] — tap for hours, menu, and walk-in wait.
Open in MapsCheck today's hoursShare with Lacy & Jason
Too lateplace202.8 s · visible 27:28 · claims 1200 s
need closed 23:13, card 255 s after
The Uber to Sugar Factory is locked in, so the lasting need is venue info — what it is, hours, address — for the ride and arrival.
Observation
[0:23:13] Speaker 1: 'Alright bet, I'm about to get an Uber to the Sugar Factory.' and [0:23:43] Marlon: 'Is Uber on his way? ... It's outside. It's here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.'
Prediction
When the card appears (~24:10-24:40) the group is grabbing their smoothies and piling into the Uber. During the ~10-20 min ride and on arrival they'll want to know what Sugar Factory actually is, its hours, address and walk-in situation — a need that lasts the whole ride.
Reasoning
The departure is real: Uber ordered at 23:13, arrived by 23:43, destination Sugar Factory after the Sex Museum fell through. The food-vs-driver crunch resolves in minutes and the booking sits on Lacey's phone, so live driver status on Marlon's screen would be invented — avoided. The durable need is the venue itself: Marlon repeatedly asked what Sugar Factory even is ('That's not a factory, that's a store'), and hours/address info stays useful through the ride and arrival. The latency actually helps: the card lands exactly when they're settled in the car with time to read. Confidence is moderate because they debated Color Factory and Beat the Bomb minutes ago and could still pivot.
Options on the card
Open in MapsCheck today's hoursShare with Lacy & Jason
Considered and rejected
Driver-waiting nudge with quick timer to beat wait feesUber is on Lacey's phone, the crunch resolves in minutes, and any live driver status would be invented.
Followup note: Sex Museum manager approval still pendingJason owns that email thread, nothing actionable for Marlon right now, better surfaced later if no callback arrives.
Color Factory vs Sugar Factory comparisonSugar Factory is already locked in as the Uber destination; re-opening the debate adds noise.
Risk
Annoying if they pivot to Color Factory or Beat the Bomb mid-ride, or redundant if Lacy already has everything on his phone.
Confidence
0.60
raw response
{
 "beobachtung": "[0:23:13] Speaker 1: 'Alright bet, I'm about to get an Uber to the Sugar Factory.' and [0:23:43] Marlon: 'Is Uber on his way? ... It's outside. It's here? But wait, we gotta wait for our food.'",
 "vorhersage": "When the card appears (~24:10-24:40) the group is grabbing their smoothies and piling into the Uber. During the ~10-20 min ride and on arrival they'll want to know what Sugar Factory actually is, its hours, address and walk-in situation — a need that lasts the whole ride.",
 "reasoning": "The departure is real: Uber ordered at 23:13, arrived by 23:43, destination Sugar Factory after the Sex Museum fell through. The food-vs-driver crunch resolves in minutes and the booking sits on Lacey's phone, so live driver status on Marlon's screen would be invented — avoided. The durable need is the venue itself: Marlon repeatedly asked what Sugar Factory even is ('That's not a factory, that's a store'), and hours/address info stays useful through the ride and arrival. The latency actually helps: the card lands exactly when they're settled in the car with time to read. Confidence is moderate because they debated Color Factory and Beat the Bomb minutes ago and could still pivot.",
 "alternativen": [
  {"karte": "Driver-waiting nudge with quick timer to beat wait fees", "verworfen_weil": "Uber is on Lacey's phone, the crunch resolves in minutes, and any live driver status would be invented."},
  {"karte": "Followup note: Sex Museum manager approval still pending", "verworfen_weil": "Jason owns that email thread, nothing actionable for Marlon right now, better surfaced later if no callback arrives."},
  {"karte": "Color Factory vs Sugar Factory comparison", "verworfen_weil": "Sugar Factory is already locked in as the Uber destination; re-opening the debate adds noise."}
 ],
 "karte": true,
 "kategorie": "place",
 "titel": "Sugar Factory: hours & info",
 "zeile": "Candy restaurant & store at [address] — tap for hours, menu, and walk-in wait.",
 "aktion": "Opens the Sugar Factory place page with address, today's hours, menu and directions from drop-off.",
 "optionen": ["Open in Maps", "Check today's hours", "Share with Lacy & Jason"],
 "haltbar_s": 1200,
 "konfidenz": 0.6,
 "risiko": "Annoying if they pivot to Color Factory or Beat the Bomb mid-ride, or redundant if Lacy already has everything on his phone.",
 "grund": "The Uber to Sugar Factory is locked in, so the lasting need is venue info — what it is, hours, address — for the ride and arrival."
}